Is Security A Campaign Issue?
Both Glenn Reynolds of Instapundit and blogger Gary Leff of More Room Throughout Coach have written that the present security system is a strong campaign issue for November. As Glenn puts it in his FoxNews collumn:
The anger that travelers feel toward airline security measures -- like the confiscation of G.I. Joe nailclippers and tweezers, or "random" searches that seem to target mostly white-haired old women or whoever's the first person in line -- is real. It could blossom into a political force.
Gary Leff's comments follow in the same vein:
I agree with Instapundit: there may be a sleeper political issue here. The Dems won't attack the only Democrat in the cabinet, so there may not be pressure on the Republicans to fire Mineta -- but an independent (or at least a non-incumbent) could really make something out of this.
Gary Leff is also the source of the "Impeach Norm Mineta" bumper stickers.
I think this is a failure as a political issue and the reasons it makes poor politics are some of the same reasons why the present flap over security is lots of smoke that need not end up in a big fire.
Lets assume a candidate jumps on the bandwagon of airport security. Before dealing with the specifics of the situation there must be a strategy for how to apply this issue to the other candidates. Since no one is running on the claim that "I set up the TSA and ordered them to strip search you" there is nothing to prevent the other candidates in a race from jumping on the bandwagon. An incumbent could say "I agree and that is why I'm calling for hearings". A challenger could simply position himself further toward traveler rights than an incumbent. I suppose there might be some Congressmen who have made stupid statements and are thus vulnerable, but beyond that this is not going to be a sticky issue.
On the specifics the politician who tries to use this issue becomes vulnerable to the facts. Fact #1- the new TSA head has only been in the job for a little more than a month. Launching a barage of criticism against the agency will enable defenders to say "Give the man a chance." They can also point to several changes since Admiral Loy took over, including today's announcement about allowing drinks through security. These are part of an on going review of all the rules. This is precisely what the critics have been calling for. Plus Loy has made some canny remarks since taking over, like the one where he insisted he needed more people with aviation experience. That demonstrates a strong desire to work with the airlines and airports. If you want evidence of that relationship, consider the statement today by Air Transport Association spokesman Michael Wascom (The Air Transport Association represents the big airlines):
James Loy, who replaced John Magaw last month as TSA chief, said the agency wants to balance customer service and security.
He announced Thursday that passengers will be allowed to carry beverages in paper or foam cups through metal detectors.
Until now, the policy has varied from airport to airport, Wascom said. "Today's announcement reflects a more common-sense approach that TSA is undertaking," he said.
Since folks like Wascom had nothing good to say about Magaw I'd say they like Loy's approach.
Fact #2- the current screeners who are responsible for the vast majority of complaints are about to be out of their jobs. Until the new TSA screeners are on the job nation wide we can not tell if the situation will greatly improve, but the fact that massive change is taking place does a bit more to undermine the political potential of the issue.
I must admit there is one area where an incumbent might be vulnerable on this issue. The requirements that TSA is struggling to meet were all set by Congress. It is starting to look like some of them, such as the 100% baggage inspection by December 31st requirement, are impossible to meet. The equipment needed to do the screening doesn't grow on trees and if the companies simply can not make the machines fast enough this is hardly the fault of the airports or the TSA. That seems to be the wedge that a smart challenger could exploit if his opponent had voted for the timelines.
I will also admit that if the debate is driven with news reports of events that took place months ago under different leadership and different rules then this puppy might have legs. But should the blogsphere which prides itself on correcting the major media be taking their cue from such stories? I find it troubling that when questioned on the sources of his FoxNews article Mr. Reynolds responded:
Of course, there was one anonymous reader who didn't like the column:
"It seems inconceivable that a professional educator would write an article with so little factual research and so many of the usual cliches of carping critics of security."
Give it up, Norm. I know it's you. . . .
...To those (well, the plural isn't obviously appropriate, but. . .) who say I'm wrong about this: show me the evidence that travellers are happy and think this stuff makes 'em safer. I haven't seen any
I think the complaint was justified. The sourcing on the FoxNews article are not strong. It presents a link to first hand account in a blog, a link to Gary Leff's site, a link to a news story about GI Joe weapons being taken, and then two USA Today articles. One of the links is to the Yahoo version of the USA Today article which has now disappeared. The second has an incorrect URL. Based on the fact that 40% of the links on the article are down I can see why the anonymous (and anonymous is not the way to respond in my opinion) letter writer might question just how much research Reynolds did. Now I don't expect scholarly research in a weekly column, but when given the chance to elaborate in his own forum the response was slam the door on the topic with a loaded response- prove people are happy. Even if they were (and I'll grant many are not) when was the last time you saw a news article about happy travelers?
The true question is not how happy travellers are, it is why they are unhappy. If they are annoyed with airline service security is not the problem. If they are annoyed because the airlines are cutting back on flights they would normally be on security is not the problem. If their companies are cutting back on travel (something that was certainly accelerated by 9/11 but was happening anyway as the economy slowed) then security is not the problem. And if security is the problem, are things getting better or worse? I'm hearing lots of complaints about the way things have been. Who is looking forward to what things will be?
I never want to just hear about a problem. I want to hear the solution. I'm hearing the new TSA head say he is seeking the balance between customer service and security. I agree completely. So where is the discussion on what that balance is? But of course it is easier to flog the dead horse of past problems than come up with solutions.
Both Glenn Reynolds of Instapundit and blogger Gary Leff of More Room Throughout Coach have written that the present security system is a strong campaign issue for November. As Glenn puts it in his FoxNews collumn:
The anger that travelers feel toward airline security measures -- like the confiscation of G.I. Joe nailclippers and tweezers, or "random" searches that seem to target mostly white-haired old women or whoever's the first person in line -- is real. It could blossom into a political force.
Gary Leff's comments follow in the same vein:
I agree with Instapundit: there may be a sleeper political issue here. The Dems won't attack the only Democrat in the cabinet, so there may not be pressure on the Republicans to fire Mineta -- but an independent (or at least a non-incumbent) could really make something out of this.
Gary Leff is also the source of the "Impeach Norm Mineta" bumper stickers.
I think this is a failure as a political issue and the reasons it makes poor politics are some of the same reasons why the present flap over security is lots of smoke that need not end up in a big fire.
Lets assume a candidate jumps on the bandwagon of airport security. Before dealing with the specifics of the situation there must be a strategy for how to apply this issue to the other candidates. Since no one is running on the claim that "I set up the TSA and ordered them to strip search you" there is nothing to prevent the other candidates in a race from jumping on the bandwagon. An incumbent could say "I agree and that is why I'm calling for hearings". A challenger could simply position himself further toward traveler rights than an incumbent. I suppose there might be some Congressmen who have made stupid statements and are thus vulnerable, but beyond that this is not going to be a sticky issue.
On the specifics the politician who tries to use this issue becomes vulnerable to the facts. Fact #1- the new TSA head has only been in the job for a little more than a month. Launching a barage of criticism against the agency will enable defenders to say "Give the man a chance." They can also point to several changes since Admiral Loy took over, including today's announcement about allowing drinks through security. These are part of an on going review of all the rules. This is precisely what the critics have been calling for. Plus Loy has made some canny remarks since taking over, like the one where he insisted he needed more people with aviation experience. That demonstrates a strong desire to work with the airlines and airports. If you want evidence of that relationship, consider the statement today by Air Transport Association spokesman Michael Wascom (The Air Transport Association represents the big airlines):
James Loy, who replaced John Magaw last month as TSA chief, said the agency wants to balance customer service and security.
He announced Thursday that passengers will be allowed to carry beverages in paper or foam cups through metal detectors.
Until now, the policy has varied from airport to airport, Wascom said. "Today's announcement reflects a more common-sense approach that TSA is undertaking," he said.
Since folks like Wascom had nothing good to say about Magaw I'd say they like Loy's approach.
Fact #2- the current screeners who are responsible for the vast majority of complaints are about to be out of their jobs. Until the new TSA screeners are on the job nation wide we can not tell if the situation will greatly improve, but the fact that massive change is taking place does a bit more to undermine the political potential of the issue.
I must admit there is one area where an incumbent might be vulnerable on this issue. The requirements that TSA is struggling to meet were all set by Congress. It is starting to look like some of them, such as the 100% baggage inspection by December 31st requirement, are impossible to meet. The equipment needed to do the screening doesn't grow on trees and if the companies simply can not make the machines fast enough this is hardly the fault of the airports or the TSA. That seems to be the wedge that a smart challenger could exploit if his opponent had voted for the timelines.
I will also admit that if the debate is driven with news reports of events that took place months ago under different leadership and different rules then this puppy might have legs. But should the blogsphere which prides itself on correcting the major media be taking their cue from such stories? I find it troubling that when questioned on the sources of his FoxNews article Mr. Reynolds responded:
Of course, there was one anonymous reader who didn't like the column:
"It seems inconceivable that a professional educator would write an article with so little factual research and so many of the usual cliches of carping critics of security."
Give it up, Norm. I know it's you. . . .
...To those (well, the plural isn't obviously appropriate, but. . .) who say I'm wrong about this: show me the evidence that travellers are happy and think this stuff makes 'em safer. I haven't seen any
I think the complaint was justified. The sourcing on the FoxNews article are not strong. It presents a link to first hand account in a blog, a link to Gary Leff's site, a link to a news story about GI Joe weapons being taken, and then two USA Today articles. One of the links is to the Yahoo version of the USA Today article which has now disappeared. The second has an incorrect URL. Based on the fact that 40% of the links on the article are down I can see why the anonymous (and anonymous is not the way to respond in my opinion) letter writer might question just how much research Reynolds did. Now I don't expect scholarly research in a weekly column, but when given the chance to elaborate in his own forum the response was slam the door on the topic with a loaded response- prove people are happy. Even if they were (and I'll grant many are not) when was the last time you saw a news article about happy travelers?
The true question is not how happy travellers are, it is why they are unhappy. If they are annoyed with airline service security is not the problem. If they are annoyed because the airlines are cutting back on flights they would normally be on security is not the problem. If their companies are cutting back on travel (something that was certainly accelerated by 9/11 but was happening anyway as the economy slowed) then security is not the problem. And if security is the problem, are things getting better or worse? I'm hearing lots of complaints about the way things have been. Who is looking forward to what things will be?
I never want to just hear about a problem. I want to hear the solution. I'm hearing the new TSA head say he is seeking the balance between customer service and security. I agree completely. So where is the discussion on what that balance is? But of course it is easier to flog the dead horse of past problems than come up with solutions.
